The Bitcoin dominance index (BTC Dominance) has risen to 60.98% — its highest level since May 2026. The indicator has come right up against the key 61% mark, a breakout of which could increase pressure on altcoins and delay the long-awaited altseason.
The dynamics of recent weeks are telling: since August 2025, Bitcoin has failed three times to consolidate above a 60.5% market share. Now the technical picture is changing — and not in favor of alternative assets.
Weekly Supertrend flips into bullish territory
The weekly Supertrend indicator, which determines the direction of the market trend, has moved into bullish territory for the first time since February 2025. An additional signal is that the dominance chart has broken upward out of the triangle that had contained fluctuations in recent months. If the current week closes above 61%, buyers will gain an additional advantage, and the next target will be the 62% level.
On the daily timeframe, the picture is different: the dominance ratio has hit the upper boundary of an ascending channel, where growth impulses have regularly faded before. A bounce off this line could return the indicator to around 60% and give altcoins a temporary respite.
Altseason postponed
Market statistics confirm: altcoin holders are having a hard time. The altseason index, which tracks how often altcoins outperform Bitcoin in returns over 90 days, has stalled at a value of 39. In effect, only about a third of the coins in the top 50 cryptocurrencies have outperformed Bitcoin over the three-month horizon. For a period to be officially considered an altseason, the index must rise to 75%.
In the short term, the situation is even worse: the 30-day index has dropped to 24 — a clear "Bitcoin season" zone. Recent altcoin buyers are recording losses, and Bitcoin's 2% decline was accompanied by a rise in its market share — meaning altcoins suffered more.
For traders, the next step will be decisive. If Bitcoin dominance holds above 61%, pressure on altcoins will intensify. If the rate pulls back and falls below 60% again, the chances of a recovery in alternative assets will increase. For now, the market is still betting on Bitcoin.
Cryptalist analysis: The current dominance configuration reflects a classic capital-preservation phase, in which liquidity concentrates in the most reliable asset. A sustained consolidation above 61% would signal continued rotation of funds from altcoins into Bitcoin and could become a trigger for further correction in the high-risk segment. At the same time, a bounce off the upper boundary of the channel could spark a short-term altcoin rebound, but without confirmation of a trend change on the weekly timeframe, such a scenario remains speculative.