Ether broke through the 0.02858 BTC mark, piercing a key resistance level that had held back prices since the start of summer. Bitmine CEO Tom Lee interprets this momentum as a major sign of a shift in market trend.

For several months, I have been closely tracking the dynamics of the ETH/BTC pair. The current breakout is not just a local spike, but, in my opinion, confirmation of a large-scale transformation of the entire digital asset industry. Lee links this rise to fundamental factors: the growth of the stablecoin segment, active movement toward tokenization of real-world assets, and the emergence of new promising projects based on Ethereum. He cites cheaper oil and progress in the adoption of the CLARITY Act, which brings clarity to cryptocurrency regulation in the US, as additional catalysts.

"There are reasons for the ETH/BTC rate to rise in the second half of 2026. In short, the idea of ETH as money is likely to gain popularity," notes the analyst. Bitmine has long supported Ethereum and is actively increasing its positions in ETH, although Lee recently indicated that the phase of aggressive buying is nearing completion. He previously linked a separate wave of ether sales this quarter to routine end-of-period sales, rather than a deterioration in fundamentals.

Traders often use the ETH/BTC ratio as a barometer of sentiment in the altcoin market. A long-term rise in this ratio indicates a flow of capital from bitcoin into more volatile tokens, which traditionally leads to a broad rally across altcoins. However, it is worth noting that over the past three months, the pair is still declining — with a drawdown of 7.72%, despite the recent surge. At the end of June, ether-focused funds ended a seven-week outflow, which has only been partially compensated so far.

Expert comment: The breakout of ETH/BTC resistance is an important, but not the only, signal. For a sustainable reversal, a consolidation above the 0.030 BTC level and confirmation from volumes are necessary. For now, we are seeing more of a reaction to accumulation rather than the start of a full-fledged altseason.