Predictions that artificial intelligence would trigger an avalanche of hacks in the decentralized finance sector have not yet materialized. As my calculations and analysis of market data show, the actual picture has turned out to be far more restrained than expected.
Despite a record number of recorded incidents, the median damage from attacks in 2026 has dropped to below $500,000. For comparison, a year earlier, this figure was around $2 million. This trend suggests that attackers using AI tools have largely shifted their focus to small or abandoned projects. Major DeFi protocols have managed to strengthen their security systems in a timely manner, which has become the main deterrent.
It is important to understand: the decline in median damage does not mean the threat has disappeared. Rather, we are witnessing a redistribution of attack vectors. AI continues to evolve, and sooner or later, hackers will find ways to bypass current defense mechanisms. The market must remain vigilant, especially regarding small and lesser-known protocols, which become easy targets.
My professional assessment: the current statistics represent a temporary lull, not a victory. The DeFi sector should prepare for more sophisticated and targeted attacks using AI over the next 12–18 months.