The key deadline set by the GENIUS Act for U.S. regulators has passed. By July 18, the responsible agencies—the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC), the Federal Reserve System (Fed), the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), and the National Credit Union Administration (NCUA)—were required to present final rules for the stablecoin market. Instead, we are seeing only a pile of proposals and open comment windows. This is a classic example of bureaucratic gridlock, calling into question the industry's operational readiness for the new regime.

Bureaucratic Carousel: What Went Wrong?

As of now, none of the key documents have passed the approval stage. In March, the OCC published a proposal covering reserve assets, capital, and issuer liquidity. In April, the FDIC put forward an initiative on prudential standards, including deposit insurance. In May, the NCUA presented a second package on operational management, with the comment period ending only on July 17. The Treasury Department has also left unfinished the principles for state-level regulation, which are supposed to define the criteria for "substantial similarity" with the federal regime. A joint proposal from the Fed, FinCEN, OCC, FDIC, and NCUA on customer identification is still open for comments until August 21.

What Does This Mean for the Market?

The missed deadline itself does not cancel the effective date of the GENIUS Act. However, the law takes effect either on January 18, 2027, or 120 days after the publication of final regulatory rules—whichever comes first. Given the pace of U.S. bureaucracy, we risk a delay. Congress did not include penalties for missing deadlines, leaving regulators room to maneuver. At the same time, lawmakers need to work on the CLARITY Act, which, as we have already seen, is sparking controversy among banking associations.

My Expertise: The missed deadline is not a catastrophe, but it is a warning sign. It demonstrates that even with political will, U.S. administrative mechanisms are not ready to quickly adapt to crypto innovation. Investors and issuers should prepare for a prolonged period of uncertainty, where federal rules will lag behind market reality rather than lead it. For now, the stablecoin market continues to rely on fragmented state requirements, creating grounds for arbitrage and regulatory fragmentation.