A whale on Polymarket recorded $2.71 million in net profit from a bet on the Colombia vs. Uzbekistan match.
A major player on the Polymarket prediction platform, operating under the nickname endlessFate, managed to turn a large bet on the Colombian national team's victory over Uzbekistan into a net profit of approximately $2.71 million. This trade has attracted the attention of analysts and clearly demonstrates how a well-timed entry into a position on prediction markets can yield returns comparable to the best trading strategies in cryptocurrencies.
Trade Details: Entry at $7.46 Million
According to on-chain analytics data, the trader purchased a "Yes" position on the market with the question "Will Colombia win on June 17, 2026?". He bought 10,171,908 tokens at an average price of 73.3 cents each, investing a total of $7.46 million. At the time of the analysts' report, the position's value was already estimated at $9.31 million, yielding an unrealized profit of $1.85 million (24.76%).
Match Outcome and Profit Realization
On June 18, the Colombian national team confidently defeated the World Cup debutant, the Uzbekistan team, with a score of 3:1. Goals were scored by Daniel Muñoz, Luis Díaz, and substitute Hamilton Campas, who found the net in the 9th minute of added time. Uzbekistan's sole goal was scored by Abbosbek Fayzullaev, marking the country's first goal in the history of the men's World Cup.
Since on Polymarket each token of the winning outcome is redeemed at $1, the trader's 10.17 million tokens resulted in a payout of $10.17 million. After deducting the initial investment of $7.46 million, the net realized profit amounted to $2.71 million. Following the market settlement, the value of active positions in the trader's profile reset to zero, confirming the complete closure of the trade with a profit.
Expert opinion: This trade is an excellent example of how prediction markets are becoming a full-fledged tool for capital management. The key success factor here was not just confidence in the outcome, but a precise calculation of the entry point at a price of 73.3 cents. The lower the average purchase price with a guaranteed redemption at $1, the higher the final return. In this case, it exceeded 36% over a short period, which is an outstanding result even by DeFi standards.