Crypto news

12.07.2026
07:47

Market Analysis: A New Wave of Liquidity and Portfolio Replenishment Strategies

At the current stage of the market cycle, we are observing a characteristic pattern that experienced participants call the "accumulation phase." Over the past 48 hours, there has been a significant inflow of funds into leading centralized exchanges, which is traditionally interpreted as institutional players preparing for active moves. The total volume of incoming Bitcoin network transactions has exceeded average weekly levels by 12%, which is a significant signal.

The structure of these deposits deserves special attention. On-chain analytics data shows that more than 65% of all inflows come from wallets associated with large mining pools and OTC desks. This indicates that we are dealing not with panic among retail investors, but with a planned redistribution of assets by large holders. Such behavior often precedes local volatility movements.

Key Indicators for Monitoring

It is critically important to track the dynamics of stablecoins. The USDT balance on exchanges has decreased by 1.8% over the past day, indicating a conversion of stablecoins into base assets. This is a classic bullish signal, pointing to the market's readiness for buying. Concurrently, the volume of open interest in BTC futures has increased by 3.5%, reaching $24.7 billion, which indicates an increase in leverage.

Nevertheless, I maintain cautious optimism. The market remains vulnerable to sudden liquidations, especially given the high concentration of long positions in altcoins. The current situation resembles preparation for a medium-term rally rather than an immediate explosive growth.

My professional conclusion: The current phase of reserve replenishment is a strategic maneuver by "smart money." For the retail investor, the most reasonable tactic would be to partially take profits in overheated altcoins and increase positions in first-tier liquid assets during corrections. Watch the $68,500 level for BTC — a breakout with confirmed volume will open the path to testing historical highs.